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Analysis: Industrial producer prices trends in Serbia

In April, the prices of industrial producer goods in Serbia saw a 1.3% increase compared to the same month last year, according to data released by the Statistical Office of the Republic of Serbia. Specifically, energy producer prices surged by 8.3%, while capital goods production became 6.4% more expensive. However, there was a two percent decrease in the production of intermediate goods.

Notably, the most significant price hike was observed in the extraction of oil and gas, which soared by 35.5%.

Interestingly, the data reveals an intriguing trend: while Serbia imports deflation, internal factors within the country contribute to inflation.

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For instance, industrial producer prices from imports saw a year-on-year decline of 2.6% in April, with a marginal 0.1% decrease compared to the previous month. Similarly, industrial producer prices for exports witnessed a 0.4% year-on-year decrease.

In contrast, prices of industrial producer goods for the domestic market saw a 2.6% increase. This trend persists not only in April but also in the first four months compared to the same period last year. During this timeframe, prices for imports and exports experienced a decline, while prices for the domestic market rose.

Analyzing product groups, a significant drop of 29.3% year-on-year was observed in agricultural chemical products, with footwear production also becoming two percent cheaper.

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Conversely, prices for all other product groups experienced an increase, with clothing prices surging by 6.8%, fuel by 4.5%, and construction materials by 5.1%.

It’s crucial to note that these observations pertain to industrial producer prices, distinct from retail prices.

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